Identity checkMatches
✓CardPikachu World Collection Promos #1 · Normal
✓Tracker matchPikachu (Ivy) · Pikachu World Collection Promos · #1
✓Raw pricePulse $57.65 vs tracker $57.65 (+0%)
✓Gem rate7.9% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$96.93 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$445.44 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$110.83 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Other: none graded yet
Other grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Other grades are back.
Graded economics+23%
PSA 10$96.93PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$445.44PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$110.83PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$29.99$162.91 net sale vs $132.93 cost
EV rangeEV range: +11% / +23% / +34% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $46.33 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $57.65PSA 10 rate 7.4–8.4% (80% interval on 368 / 4682); comps ±9.5% (comp quality 81). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 5% / 9 31% / 8 37% / ≤7 28%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 7.9% → adjusted 4.6% (Other, ×0.58 at $58 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenPSA 10 comp is at or below a miss value; check comps
CostsRaw $57.65 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $4.29 = $132.93Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $77.79 · PSA 9 $376.89 · PSA 8 $89.72 · ≤7 $39.13PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitOther split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 8.4% vs Other typical 20.4%): PSA 9 50% → 32%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium0.2x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate7.9%
PSA 10 pop368
Total pop4,682
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity45/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply85/100
Demand22/100
Gem rate 7.9%PSA 10 pop 368/4682PSA 10/9 premium 0.2xSupply constraint 85/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$57.65
Pulse price$57.65
Delta0%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Pikachu (Ivy)PSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Momentum#52 / +260%
Support$14.86 floor, 4 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.