Identity checkMatches
✓CardSWSH07: Evolving Skies #209/203 · Holo
✓Tracker matchGlaceon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) · SWSH07: Evolving Skies · #209/203
✓Raw pricePulse $291.37 vs tracker $291.37 (+0%)
✓Gem rate71.3% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$473.31 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$232.09 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$232.50 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SW&SH: none graded yet
SW&SH grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SW&SH grades are back.
Graded economics-17%
PSA 10$473.31PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$232.09PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$232.50PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$63.31$311.86 net sale vs $375.16 cost
EV rangeEV range: -23% / -17% / -10% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $158.26 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $291.37PSA 10 rate 70.8–71.7% (80% interval on 10665 / 14964); comps ±7.5% (comp quality 85). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 57% / 9 29% / 8 9% / ≤7 4%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 71.3% → adjusted 57.0% (SW&SH, ×0.80 at $291 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 87.6% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $291.37 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $12.80 = $375.16Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $400.81 · PSA 9 $193.78 · PSA 8 $194.14 · ≤7 $193.78PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSW&SH grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.0x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate71.3%
PSA 10 pop10,665
Total pop14,964
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity23/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply8/100
Demand75/100
Gem rate 71.3%PSA 10 pop 10665/14964PSA 10/9 premium 2.0xSupply constraint 8/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$291.37
Pulse price$291.37
Delta0%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Glaceon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)PSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$258.57 floor, 5 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.