Identity checkMismatch
✓CardPrize Pack Series Cards #019/192 · Holo
✓Tracker matchEldegoss V - 019/192 · Prize Pack Series Cards · #019/192
✓Raw pricePulse $27.80 vs tracker $27.80 (+0%)
✓Gem rate33.3% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✕PSA 10 comp$82.04 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing
✕PSA 9 comp$30.21 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing
!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SW&SH: none graded yet
SW&SH grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SW&SH grades are back.
Graded economics-72%
PSA 10$82.04Market grade-curve estimate
PSA 9$30.21Market grade-curve estimate
PSA 8-Market grade-curve estimate
Net EV−$73.31$28.68 net sale vs $101.99 cost
EV rangeEV range: -83% / -72% / -54% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $27.80PSA 10 rate 10.6–67.9% (80% interval on 1 / 3); comps ±20.5% (comp quality 59). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 21% / 9 54% / 8 17% / ≤7 8%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 33.3% → adjusted 20.9% (SW&SH, ×0.63 at $28 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $27.80 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.20 = $101.99Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $65.01 · PSA 9 $20.53 · PSA 8 $16.07 · ≤7 $16.07PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSW&SH grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium2.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate33.3%
PSA 10 pop1
Total pop3
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity53/100
LabelWeak
Confidence85/100
Supply44/100
Demand17/100
Gem rate 33.3%PSA 10 pop 1/3PSA 10/9 premium 2.7xSupply constraint 44/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$27.80
Pulse price$27.80
Delta0%
CheckedOct 30, 2026
Eldegoss V - 019/192PSA comps refreshed Oct 30, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$27.80 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown38% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.