Identity checkMatches
✓CardWorld Championship Decks #104/112 · Normal
✓Tracker matchBlastoise ex - 2006 (Hiroki Yano) · World Championship Decks · #104/112
✓Raw pricePulse $37.16 vs tracker $37.16 (+0%)
✓Gem rate15.9% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$448.27 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$350.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SM: none graded yet
SM grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SM grades are back.
Graded economics+50%
PSA 10$448.27PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$350.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8-PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$56.25$167.94 net sale vs $111.69 cost
EV rangeEV range: +30% / +50% / +72% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $50.49 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $37.16PSA 10 rate 13.1–19.2% (80% interval on 37 / 233); comps ±12.0% (comp quality 76). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 10% / 9 41% / 8 29% / ≤7 20%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 15.9% → adjusted 9.5% (SM, ×0.60 at $37 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $37.16 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.54 = $111.69Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $379.32 · PSA 9 $294.98 · PSA 8 $23.30 · ≤7 $23.30PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSM split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 19.2% vs SM typical 34.0%): PSA 9 60% → 45%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium1.3x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate15.9%
PSA 10 pop37
Total pop233
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity54/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply71/100
Demand73/100
Gem rate 15.9%PSA 10 pop 37/233PSA 10/9 premium 1.3xSupply constraint 71/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$37.16
Pulse price$37.16
Delta0%
CheckedOct 30, 2026
Blastoise ex - 2006 (Hiroki Yano)PSA comps refreshed Oct 30, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$27.02 floor, 4 tests
Drawdown27% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.