Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV05: Temporal Forces #206/162 · Holo
✓Tracker matchIron Crown ex - 206/162 · SV05: Temporal Forces · #206/162
✓Raw pricePulse $44.68 vs tracker $44.80 (+0%)
✓Gem rate47.7% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$165.63 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$47.36 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$39.12 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-45%
PSA 10$165.63PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$47.36PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$39.12PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$53.67$65.82 net sale vs $119.48 cost
EV rangeEV range: -48% / -45% / -42% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $44.68PSA 10 rate 47.0–48.4% (80% interval on 3653 / 7661); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 32% / 9 46% / 8 15% / ≤7 7%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 47.7% → adjusted 31.6% (SV, ×0.66 at $45 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 83.4% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $44.68 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.81 = $119.48Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $136.74 · PSA 9 $35.25 · PSA 8 $28.17 · ≤7 $28.17PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium3.5x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate47.7%
PSA 10 pop3,653
Total pop7,661
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity35/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply27/100
Demand40/100
Gem rate 47.7%PSA 10 pop 3653/7661PSA 10/9 premium 3.5xSupply constraint 27/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$44.80
Pulse price$44.68
Delta+0%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Iron Crown ex - 206/162PSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$45.05 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown50% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-04-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.