Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV05: Temporal Forces #208/162 · Holo
✓Tracker matchRaging Bolt ex - 208/162 · SV05: Temporal Forces · #208/162
✓Raw pricePulse $57.73 vs tracker $57.73 (+0%)
✓Gem rate42.1% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$213.60 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$60.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$58.61 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-37%
PSA 10$213.60PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$60.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$58.61PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$49.61$83.40 net sale vs $133.01 cost
EV rangeEV range: -41% / -37% / -34% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $57.73PSA 10 rate 41.5–42.8% (80% interval on 3843 / 9121); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 29% / 9 48% / 8 16% / ≤7 7%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 42.1% → adjusted 28.8% (SV, ×0.68 at $58 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 66.2% adjusted (≈ 96.8% population)
CostsRaw $57.73 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $4.29 = $133.01Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $177.92 · PSA 9 $46.09 · PSA 8 $44.90 · ≤7 $39.19PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium3.6x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate42.1%
PSA 10 pop3,843
Total pop9,121
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity39/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply33/100
Demand48/100
Gem rate 42.1%PSA 10 pop 3843/9121PSA 10/9 premium 3.6xSupply constraint 33/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$57.73
Pulse price$57.73
Delta0%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Raging Bolt ex - 208/162PSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$52.74 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown42% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-04-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.