Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Shrouded Fable #094/064 · Holo
✓Tracker matchCassiopeia - 094/064 · SV: Shrouded Fable · #094/064
✓Raw pricePulse $40.40 vs tracker $40.57 (+0%)
✓Gem rate31.7% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$111.14 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$28.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$25.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-71%
PSA 10$111.14PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$28.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$25.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$82.23$32.82 net sale vs $115.05 cost
EV rangeEV range: -74% / -71% / -69% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $40.40PSA 10 rate 30.7–32.8% (80% interval on 1027 / 3237); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 21% / 9 54% / 8 17% / ≤7 8%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 31.7% → adjusted 20.8% (SV, ×0.66 at $40 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $40.40 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.66 = $115.05Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $89.98 · PSA 9 $18.63 · PSA 8 $16.06 · ≤7 $16.06PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium4.0x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate31.7%
PSA 10 pop1,027
Total pop3,237
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity46/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply47/100
Demand27/100
Gem rate 31.7%PSA 10 pop 1027/3237PSA 10/9 premium 4.0xSupply constraint 47/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$40.57
Pulse price$40.40
Delta+0%
CheckedOct 31, 2026
Cassiopeia - 094/064PSA comps refreshed Oct 31, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Drawdown61% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-08-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.