Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Prismatic Evolutions #147/131 · Holo
✓Tracker matchCeruledge ex · SV: Prismatic Evolutions · #147/131
✓Raw pricePulse $90.03 vs tracker $90.03 (+0%)
✓Gem rate39.8% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$235.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$88.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$83.97 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-37%
PSA 10$235.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$88.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$83.97PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$61.23$105.25 net sale vs $166.49 cost
EV rangeEV range: -40% / -37% / -33% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $5.50 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $90.03PSA 10 rate 39.0–40.6% (80% interval on 2417 / 6074); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 29% / 9 49% / 8 16% / ≤7 7%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 39.8% → adjusted 28.6% (SV, ×0.72 at $90 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 76.6% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $90.03 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $5.47 = $166.49Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $196.28 · PSA 9 $70.12 · PSA 8 $66.67 · ≤7 $64.14PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate39.8%
PSA 10 pop2,417
Total pop6,074
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity37/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply36/100
Demand52/100
Gem rate 39.8%PSA 10 pop 2417/6074PSA 10/9 premium 2.7xSupply constraint 36/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$90.03
Pulse price$90.03
Delta0%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Ceruledge exPSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$90.03 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown60% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-02-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.