Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Prismatic Evolutions #153/131 · Holo
✓Tracker matchJolteon ex - 153/131 · SV: Prismatic Evolutions · #153/131
✓Raw pricePulse $154.92 vs tracker $155.84 (+1%)
✓Gem rate28.7% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$531.55 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$158.92 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$158.13 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-15%
PSA 10$531.55PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$158.92PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$158.13PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$34.55$199.19 net sale vs $233.74 cost
EV rangeEV range: -20% / -15% / -10% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $76.25 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $154.92PSA 10 rate 28.1–29.2% (80% interval on 2826 / 9863); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 22% / 9 51% / 8 18% / ≤7 9%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 28.7% → adjusted 21.8% (SV, ×0.76 at $155 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 32.6% adjusted (≈ 42.7% population)
CostsRaw $154.92 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $7.83 = $233.74Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $450.79 · PSA 9 $130.99 · PSA 8 $130.31 · ≤7 $114.26PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 29.2% vs SV typical 32.0%): PSA 9 68% → 65%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium3.3x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate28.7%
PSA 10 pop2,826
Total pop9,863
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity50/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply51/100
Demand79/100
Gem rate 28.7%PSA 10 pop 2826/9863PSA 10/9 premium 3.3xSupply constraint 51/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$155.84
Pulse price$154.92
Delta+1%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Jolteon ex - 153/131PSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$141.31 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown51% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-02-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.