PSA 10$662.50PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$189.25PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8-PriceCharting crawler
Net EV$3.47$237.33 net sale vs $233.85 cost
EV rangeEV range: -23% / +1% / +26% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $59.14 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $155.03PSA 10 rate 28.9–30.2% (80% interval on 2573 / 8701); comps ±26.0% (comp quality 48). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 23% / 9 51% / 8 18% / ≤7 9%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 29.6% → adjusted 22.5% (SV, ×0.76 at $155 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 21.7% adjusted (≈ 28.5% population)
CostsRaw $155.03 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $7.83 = $233.85Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $563.17 · PSA 9 $157.02 · PSA 8 $114.35 · ≤7 $114.35PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings). Grade splitSV split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 30.2% vs SV typical 32.0%): PSA 9 68% → 66%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium3.5x