Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Prismatic Evolutions #175/131 · Holo
✓Tracker matchLacey - 175/131 · SV: Prismatic Evolutions · #175/131
✓Raw pricePulse $21.14 vs tracker $21.14 (+0%)
✓Gem rate29.5% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$56.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$22.10 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$24.85 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-80%
PSA 10$56.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$22.10PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$24.85PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$76.13$18.96 net sale vs $95.09 cost
EV rangeEV range: -82% / -80% / -78% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $21.14PSA 10 rate 28.1–30.9% (80% interval on 498 / 1690); comps ±7.5% (comp quality 85). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 18% / 9 55% / 8 19% / ≤7 9%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 29.5% → adjusted 17.8% (SV, ×0.60 at $21 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $21.14 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.96 = $95.09Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $42.66 · PSA 9 $13.57 · PSA 8 $15.93 · ≤7 $10.93PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 30.9% vs SV typical 32.0%): PSA 9 68% → 67%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.5x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate29.5%
PSA 10 pop498
Total pop1,690
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity40/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply50/100
Demand4/100
Gem rate 29.5%PSA 10 pop 498/1690PSA 10/9 premium 2.5xSupply constraint 50/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$21.14
Pulse price$21.14
Delta0%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Lacey - 175/131PSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Drawdown67% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-02-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.