Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Prismatic Evolutions #025/131 · Holo
✓Tracker matchGlaceon (Master Ball Pattern) · SV: Prismatic Evolutions · #025/131
✓Raw pricePulse $23.70 vs tracker $23.57 (-1%)
✓Gem rate19.1% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$251.81 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$28.80 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$17.66 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-61%
PSA 10$251.81PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$28.80PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$17.66PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$59.61$38.13 net sale vs $97.74 cost
EV rangeEV range: -66% / -61% / -55% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $23.70PSA 10 rate 16.4–22.2% (80% interval on 58 / 303); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 12% / 9 50% / 8 24% / ≤7 14%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 19.1% → adjusted 11.7% (SV, ×0.61 at $24 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 42.2% adjusted (≈ 68.8% population)
CostsRaw $23.70 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.05 = $97.74Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $210.71 · PSA 9 $19.32 · PSA 8 $9.75 · ≤7 $9.75PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 22.2% vs SV typical 32.0%): PSA 9 68% → 57%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium8.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate19.1%
PSA 10 pop58
Total pop303
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity70/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply65/100
Demand54/100
Gem rate 19.1%PSA 10 pop 58/303PSA 10/9 premium 8.7xSupply constraint 65/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$23.57
Pulse price$23.70
Delta-1%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Glaceon (Master Ball Pattern)PSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$23.53 floor, 2 tests
Drawdown65% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-02-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.