Identity checkMatches
✓CardMiscellaneous Cards & Products #060/131 · Holo
✓Tracker matchUmbreon ex - 060/131 (Prismatic Evolutions Stamp) · Miscellaneous Cards & Products · #060/131
✓Raw pricePulse $18.52 vs tracker $18.52 (+0%)
✓Gem rate43.4% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$172.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$28.99 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$14.99 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Other: none graded yet
Other grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Other grades are back.
Graded economics-55%
PSA 10$172.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$28.99PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$14.99PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$50.96$41.41 net sale vs $92.37 cost
EV rangeEV range: -58% / -55% / -52% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $18.52PSA 10 rate 42.8–43.9% (80% interval on 6165 / 14216); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 22% / 9 39% / 8 23% / ≤7 16%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 43.4% → adjusted 21.7% (Other, ×0.50 at $19 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 61.3% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $18.52 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.86 = $92.37Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $142.21 · PSA 9 $19.48 · PSA 8 $7.46 · ≤7 $7.46PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitOther grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium5.9x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate43.4%
PSA 10 pop6,165
Total pop14,216
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity44/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply32/100
Demand41/100
Gem rate 43.4%PSA 10 pop 6165/14216PSA 10/9 premium 5.9xSupply constraint 32/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$18.52
Pulse price$18.52
Delta0%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Umbreon ex - 060/131 (Prismatic Evolutions Stamp)PSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$17.28 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown72% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.