Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: White Flare #168/086 · Holo
✓Tracker matchJellicent ex - 168/086 · SV: White Flare · #168/086
✓Raw pricePulse $23.36 vs tracker $25.25 (+8%)
✓Gem rate55.2% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$75.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$30.12 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$30.46 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-66%
PSA 10$75.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$30.12PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$30.46PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$64.39$33.00 net sale vs $97.39 cost
EV rangeEV range: -70% / -66% / -62% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $23.36PSA 10 rate 53.9–56.5% (80% interval on 1315 / 2382); comps ±9.0% (comp quality 82). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 34% / 9 45% / 8 15% / ≤7 7%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 55.2% → adjusted 33.8% (SV, ×0.61 at $23 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $23.36 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.04 = $97.39Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $58.97 · PSA 9 $20.45 · PSA 8 $20.74 · ≤7 $12.64PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.5x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate55.2%
PSA 10 pop1,315
Total pop2,382
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity26/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply20/100
Demand14/100
Gem rate 55.2%PSA 10 pop 1315/2382PSA 10/9 premium 2.5xSupply constraint 20/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$25.25
Pulse price$23.36
Delta+8%
CheckedOct 9, 2026
Jellicent ex - 168/086PSA comps refreshed Oct 9, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Drawdown59% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-08-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.