Identity checkMatches
✓CardDark Explorers #111/108 · Holo
✓Tracker matchPokemon Catcher (Gold) · Dark Explorers · #111/108
✓Raw pricePulse $99.89 vs tracker $99.89 (+0%)
✓Gem rate19.3% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$1,064 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$499.90 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$95.91 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+72%
PSA 10$1,064PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$499.90PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$95.91PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$128.09$306.95 net sale vs $178.86 cost
EV rangeEV range: +55% / +72% / +91% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $150.17 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $99.89PSA 10 rate 15.0–24.5% (80% interval on 22 / 114); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 11% / 9 40% / 8 27% / ≤7 22%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 19.3% → adjusted 11.1% (Vintage, ×0.58 at $100 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $99.89 + shipping $5.00 + grading $62.22 (expected; 11% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $5.75 = $178.86Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $907.53 · PSA 9 $423.63 · PSA 8 $76.91 · ≤7 $71.76PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 11% chance of an upcharge to Priority; about 130 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.1x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate19.3%
PSA 10 pop22
Total pop114
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity64/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply65/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 19.3%PSA 10 pop 22/114PSA 10/9 premium 2.1xSupply constraint 65/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$99.89
Pulse price$99.89
Delta0%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Pokemon Catcher (Gold)PSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$101.26 floor, 5 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.