Identity checkMatches
✓CardEX Unseen Forces #112/115 · Holo
✓Tracker matchUmbreon ex · EX Unseen Forces · #112/115
✓Raw pricePulse $500.00 vs tracker $500.00 (+0%)
✓Gem rate2.6% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$9,615 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$5,065 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$7,000 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+297%
PSA 10$9,615PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$5,065PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$7,000PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$2,829$3,780 net sale vs $951.27 cost
EV rangeEV range: +297% / +297% / > 300% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $1,500.00 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $500.00PSA 10 rate 2.2–3.2% (80% interval on 46 / 1749); comps ±7.5% (comp quality 85). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 2% / 9 31% / 8 36% / ≤7 31%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 2.6% → adjusted 1.7% (Vintage, ×0.65 at $500 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $500.00 + shipping $5.00 + grading $431.46 (expected; 69% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $8.81 = $951.27Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $8,550.33 · PSA 9 $4,341.78 · PSA 8 $6,002.18 · ≤7 $380.80PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 69% chance of an upcharge to Premier; about 50 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 3.2% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 32%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium1.9x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate2.6%
PSA 10 pop46
Total pop1,749
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity73/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply95/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 2.6%PSA 10 pop 46/1749PSA 10/9 premium 1.9xSupply constraint 95/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$500.00
Pulse price$500.00
Delta0%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Umbreon exPSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$487.55 floor, 4 tests
Drawdown50% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.