Identity checkMismatch
✓CardSM - Cosmic Eclipse #103/236 · Rev Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchMatched by TCGplayer ID
!Raw price$19.64 (tracker has no price)
✓Gem rate9.1% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✕PSA 10 comp$599.47 · PriceCharting curve estimate · this printing
✕PSA 9 comp$39.60 · PriceCharting curve estimate · this printing
!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SM: none graded yet
SM grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SM grades are back.
Graded economics-55%
PSA 10$599.47PriceCharting curve estimate
PSA 9$39.60PriceCharting curve estimate
PSA 8-PriceCharting curve estimate
Net EV−$51.09$42.45 net sale vs $93.53 cost
EV rangeEV range: -77% / -55% / -10% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $19.64PSA 10 rate 4.5–17.6% (80% interval on 3 / 33); comps ±30.0% (comp quality 27). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 5% / 9 41% / 8 32% / ≤7 22%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 9.1% → adjusted 5.0% (SM, ×0.55 at $20 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 15.4% adjusted (≈ 28.0% population)
CostsRaw $19.64 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.90 = $93.53Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $509.08 · PSA 9 $28.59 · PSA 8 $9.77 · ≤7 $9.77PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSM split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 17.6% vs SM typical 34.0%): PSA 9 60% → 43%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium15.1x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate9.1%
PSA 10 pop3
Total pop33
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity87/100
LabelStrong
Confidence92/100
Supply83/100
Demand83/100
Gem rate 9.1%PSA 10 pop 3/33PSA 10/9 premium 15.1xSupply constraint 83/100
Raw validationprice mismatch
TCG market$5.69
Pulse price$19.64
Delta-71%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
MarshadowPSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context2
Support$19.54 floor, 2 tests
Drawdown48% off peak, Basing
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.