Identity checkMatches
✓CardJungle #12/64 · 1st Edition Holofoil (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchVaporeon (12) · Jungle · #12/64
✓Raw pricePulse $252.99 vs tracker $252.99 (+0%)
✓Gem rate1.5% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$19,225 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$825.39 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$929.37 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+111%
PSA 10$19,225PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$825.39PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$929.37PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$382.68$727.22 net sale vs $344.54 cost
EV rangeEV range: +82% / +111% / +137% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $473.46 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $252.99PSA 10 rate 1.3–1.8% (80% interval on 72 / 4754); comps ±12.0% (comp quality 76). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 1% / 9 23% / 8 40% / ≤7 35%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 1.5% → adjusted 1.0% (Vintage, ×0.65 at $253 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $252.99 + shipping $5.00 + grading $69.23 (expected; 1% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $11.32 = $344.54Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $17,918.59 · PSA 9 $702.97 · PSA 8 $792.21 · ≤7 $190.01PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 1% chance of an upcharge to Premium 1; about 132 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 1.8% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 24%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium23.3x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate1.5%
PSA 10 pop72
Total pop4,754
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity89/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply97/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 1.5%PSA 10 pop 72/4754PSA 10/9 premium 23.3xSupply constraint 97/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$252.99
Pulse price$252.99
Delta0%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Vaporeon (12)PSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$239.19 floor, 3 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.