Identity checkMismatch
✓CardEX Crystal Guardians #29/100 · Rev Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchCharmeleon · EX Crystal Guardians · #29/100
✕Raw pricePulse $96.97 vs tracker $2.16 (-98%)
✓Gem rate6.7% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$305.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$41.16 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$20.04 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-83%
PSA 10$305.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$41.16PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$20.04PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$144.63$29.05 net sale vs $173.68 cost
EV rangeEV range: -86% / -83% / -80% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $96.97PSA 10 rate 5.0–8.9% (80% interval on 18 / 269); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 4% / 9 43% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 6.7% → adjusted 3.8% (Vintage, ×0.58 at $97 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 65.0% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $96.97 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $5.72 = $173.68Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $256.36 · PSA 9 $29.92 · PSA 8 $11.80 · ≤7 $11.80PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium7.4x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate6.7%
PSA 10 pop18
Total pop269
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity83/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply87/100
Demand60/100
Gem rate 6.7%PSA 10 pop 18/269PSA 10/9 premium 7.4xSupply constraint 87/100
Raw validationprice mismatch
TCG market$2.16
Pulse price$96.97
Delta-98%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
CharmeleonPSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Momentum#31 / +314%
Support$21.46 floor, 4 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.