Identity checkMatches
✓CardLegendary Collection #006/110 · Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchDark Persian · Legendary Collection · #006/110
✓Raw pricePulse $37.86 vs tracker $37.86 (+0%)
✓Gem rate3.0% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$3,721 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$399.99 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$121.30 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+78%
PSA 10$3,721PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$399.99PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$121.30PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$91.29$208.08 net sale vs $116.80 cost
EV rangeEV range: +62% / +78% / +98% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $85.43 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $37.86PSA 10 rate 2.3–4.0% (80% interval on 21 / 689); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 2% / 9 35% / 8 34% / ≤7 29%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 3.0% → adjusted 1.5% (Vintage, ×0.50 at $38 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $37.86 + shipping $5.00 + grading $64.40 (expected; 2% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.54 = $116.80Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $3,187.73 · PSA 9 $337.88 · PSA 8 $98.70 · ≤7 $23.84PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 2% chance of an upcharge to Super Express; about 131 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 4.0% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 36%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium9.3x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate3.0%
PSA 10 pop21
Total pop689
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity90/100
LabelElite
Confidence100/100
Supply94/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 3.0%PSA 10 pop 21/689PSA 10/9 premium 9.3xSupply constraint 94/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$37.86
Pulse price$37.86
Delta0%
CheckedNov 1, 2026
Dark PersianPSA comps refreshed Nov 1, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$33.82 floor, 4 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.