Identity checkMatches
✓CardExpedition #087/165 · Rev Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchMatched by TCGplayer ID
!Raw price$35.85 (tracker has no price)
✓Gem rate5.1% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$200.34 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$74.24 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 8 comp$37.99 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-61%
PSA 10$200.34PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$74.24PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8$37.99PriceCharting crawler
Net EV−$67.15$43.18 net sale vs $110.33 cost
EV rangeEV range: -69% / -61% / -52% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $35.85PSA 10 rate 2.9–8.8% (80% interval on 5 / 98); comps ±17.5% (comp quality 65). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 44% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 5.1% → adjusted 2.5% (Vintage, ×0.50 at $36 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 55.6% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $35.85 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.49 = $110.33Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $166.54 · PSA 9 $58.31 · PSA 8 $27.20 · ≤7 $22.29PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate5.1%
PSA 10 pop5
Total pop98
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity73/100
LabelWatch
Confidence92/100
Supply90/100
Demand46/100
Gem rate 5.1%PSA 10 pop 5/98PSA 10/9 premium 2.7xSupply constraint 90/100
Raw validationprice mismatch
TCG market$9.11
Pulse price$35.85
Delta-75%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
MetapodPSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context2
Support$35.85 floor, 2 tests
Drawdown55% off peak, Basing
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.