Identity checkMatches
✓CardLegendary Collection #019/110 · Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchZapdos · Legendary Collection · #019/110
!Raw pricePulse $46.77 vs tracker $37.46 (-20%)
✓Gem rate6.1% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$1,653 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$103.00 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 8 comp$93.60 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-13%
PSA 10$1,653PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$103.00PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8$93.60PriceCharting crawler
Net EV−$16.13$109.84 net sale vs $125.97 cost
EV rangeEV range: -34% / -13% / +13% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $46.77PSA 10 rate 5.1–7.3% (80% interval on 47 / 773); comps ±22.0% (comp quality 56). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 44% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 6.1% → adjusted 3.1% (Vintage, ×0.52 at $47 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 4.5% adjusted (≈ 8.7% population)
CostsRaw $46.77 + shipping $5.00 + grading $64.36 (expected; 3% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.84 = $125.97Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $1,413.56 · PSA 9 $83.00 · PSA 8 $74.93 · ≤7 $30.73PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 3% chance of an upcharge to Express; about 130 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium16.1x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate6.1%
PSA 10 pop47
Total pop773
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity86/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply88/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 6.1%PSA 10 pop 47/773PSA 10/9 premium 16.1xSupply constraint 88/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$37.46
Pulse price$46.77
Delta-20%
CheckedJun 21, 2026
ZapdosPSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026
Signal context1
Support$34.32 floor, 4 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-11-02). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.